Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 10.246389 11.817062 13.503114 15.442370 17.605809 19.939627 22.642037
2025-08-24 7.827050 9.878991 12.242404 15.145766 18.594956 22.539610 27.368670
2025-08-31 6.251829 8.474014 11.177837 14.669739 19.016107 24.201867 30.806343
2025-09-07 5.359734 7.715235 10.715311 14.751422 19.966534 26.400075 34.849172
2025-09-14 4.648675 7.069437 10.282566 14.765032 20.749281 28.347185 38.589695
2025-09-21 4.131315 6.606202 10.016245 14.929838 21.680904 30.469373 42.586056
2025-09-28 3.650592 6.128162 9.666390 14.923010 22.341732 32.224827 46.133569
2025-10-05 3.357799 5.887073 9.615687 15.305446 23.524043 34.691405 50.684396
2025-10-12 3.071956 5.619986 9.493813 15.558907 24.514851 36.912685 54.959813
2025-10-19 2.781619 5.310254 9.274043 15.638377 25.239610 38.771203 58.778526
2025-10-26 2.420833 4.841121 8.762601 15.230758 25.212022 39.546095 61.086981
2025-11-02 2.130646 4.457491 8.349553 14.935745 25.318225 40.492570 63.642400
2025-11-09 1.865005 4.089133 7.933420 14.610612 25.365224 41.361736 66.133730
2025-11-16 1.638880 3.765429 7.562092 14.326587 25.450562 42.277289 68.709055
2025-11-23 1.414732 3.415562 7.111266 13.871950 25.229316 42.706038 70.557652
2025-11-30 1.293497 3.255235 6.982404 13.949952 25.859668 44.441742 74.399792
2025-12-07 1.176312 3.087963 6.824747 13.962949 26.375754 46.008222 78.020444
2025-12-14 1.088639 2.972605 6.753451 14.120342 27.132460 47.967574 82.288810
2025-12-21 0.990694 2.821311 6.598850 14.113821 27.605009 49.483925 85.904839
2025-12-28 0.941229 2.775052 6.646460 14.479104 28.725964 52.067236 91.249246
2026-01-04 0.883090 2.700629 6.630310 14.721238 29.638103 54.334347 96.147517
2026-01-11 0.814279 2.590744 6.531279 14.797164 30.255940 56.132941 100.340331
2026-01-18 0.712299 2.381545 6.203911 14.407760 30.020440 56.506797 102.248476